No diagnosis
The evidence did not clear the stated threshold. The tool refused to name a cause rather than guess. The refusal, with the exact shortfall, is the output.
Case metadata
| Case | CASE-02-OKONKWO |
| Impact score | 45 |
| Percentile | 38 |
| Payline | 20 |
| Outcome | unfunded, outside payline |
| Items / warnings | 16 / 4 |
Matched failure modes
No factor separates: F1 4/4/5, F2 4/5/4, F3 appropriate across the panel. No moved cell.
- No failure mode matched any quote.
- 4 quote(s) unmatched - recorded as warnings, never forced onto a near mode.
Refusal, in full
RECONSTRUCTED - produced from a reconstructed case; the quotes below are reconstructed reviewer language, not real reviewer language.
No diagnosis: CASE-02-OKONKWO
Impact score 45, percentile 38, NIAID FY2026 payline 20. Unfunded, outside payline. n_items 16, n_warnings 4.
Shortfall, by the three threshold conditions
- >= 2 verbatim critique quotes matched to one mode: FAILED. Zero
- >= 1 moved grid cell: FAILED. F1 is 4 / 4 / 5 and F2 is 4 / 5 / 4.
- >= 1 located excerpt supporting a cause: NOT REACHED. With no
quotes matched any mode in the table. All four are recorded as unmatched: true and counted as warnings.
No factor separates from the others; there is no cell that moved.
candidate cause, there was nothing to locate.
What was tempting, and why it was declined
This application is outside the payline, which is the failure this tool explains, so the pull toward naming something is real. The nearest candidates and why each was refused:
- The comparative-pool language ("did not reach consensus on the relative
- "Enthusiasm among the reviewers was moderate" describes panel affect,
- The application excerpt affirmatively carries a power analysis and both
merit of this application compared with others in the pool") sits near mode-13-wrong-ic-fit. Nothing in the record names institute mission or fit, and the percentile is 18 points outside the payline rather than just outside it, which is the opposite of mode-13's signature.
not a defect in the application. There is no mode for it, and inventing one would be the failure this tool diagnoses in other people's work.
sexes, so mode-09-rigor-gaps is contradicted, not merely unsupported.
Conclusion
The summary statement does not contain enough located, matched evidence to name a primary cause. The correct output is this file. A cause named here would be a guess wearing an evidence chain.